Why the weight matrix matters
The weight matrix is the skeleton of the structural causal model — the fitted linear coefficients that quantify how strongly each direct cause acts on each effect. Unlike correlation coefficients, these weights have a directional, mechanistic interpretation: holding all other parents fixed, a weight of +1.5 means one unit of cause produces 1.5 units of effect downstream, not merely that the two tend to move together.
The matrix makes model transparency concrete. Every quantitative claim — path effects, sensitivity scores, counterfactual predictions — is a composition of these weights across chains of edges. Inspecting the matrix is the first check that domain knowledge was correctly encoded and that the fitted model behaves as intended.
- Open the recommended scenario for this case
- Adjust observed evidence or intervention settings
- Move to a second tool without losing context
- Compare obs() versus do() where available
- Inspect paths, blankets, or CPT structure to explain the shift